U.S. recession odds fade as financial knowledge hold beating (SPY:NYSEARCA)

Rocket Pulling Downward-Trending Red Graph with Chains, Symbolizing Recovery Efforts and Market Correction — J Studios

Prediction market odds of a 2026 U.S. recession have retreated sharply, with Kalshi contracts nearly erasing their post-Iran-war jump, standing at around 23% on Friday.

The pullback signals that traders are increasingly skeptical the Middle East conflict alone will tip

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