Bitcoin Price Prediction: Fidelity Flags a $65K Bottom – Is the Cycle Breaking? | Invesloan.com

Bitcoin is at a crossroads as long-term cycle warnings collide with short-term technical pressure. Fidelity sees a possible $65,000 bottom in 2026, while institutional shifts around Bitcoin treasury firms and new US access via Metaplanet’s ADRs reshape sentiment.

Against this backdrop, BTC trades near a key technical pivot, with bearish flag risks balanced by signs of base-building and dip demand.

Fidelity Sees $65K Bitcoin Bottom in 2026, Bull Cycle Nearing End

According to Jurrien Timmer, director of global macro research at Fidelity Bitcoin may have peaked in its current four-year cycle. According to him, Bitcoin’s increase to almost $125,000 earlier this year may be the cycle’s price and time high.

Timmer expects a weaker year in 2026, akin to previous “Bitcoin winters,” despite his continued belief in Bitcoin. He believes that Bitcoin has good support between $65,000 and $75,000 pointing to a potential bottom in 2026 at $65,000.

All analysts disagree yet. According to several cryptocurrency analysts, Wall Street adoption, stricter regulations and new cryptocurrency investment products will propel Bitcoin to unprecedented heights in 2026.

Many people think fundamentals are becoming better despite recent price declines and pessimism. This forecast may put pressure on the cryptocurrency and raise volatility in the short run. Yet the $65K mark is regarded as a solid long-term support bolstering Bitcoin’s optimistic outlook after the cycle pause.

Metaplanet to Start US Trading via ADRs

The Japanese Bitcoin treasury business Metaplanet will start using American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) on the over-the-counter market to trade in the US. It will come that trading would begin under the ticker MPJPY with Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas serving as the depositor.

The goal of the modification is to make Metaplanet’s shares more accessible to US institutional and ordinary investors without requiring a direct listing on a US exchange.

According to the company, the ADRs are intended to increase stock accessibility worldwide rather than to raise additional funds. The launch comes after Metaplanet decided earlier this year to establish a Miami-based US subsidiary. Metaplanet is one of the biggest Bitcoin-holding organizations in the world, with more than 30,800 BTC.

However since its worth momentarily dropped below the value of its Bitcoin holdings in September the company has not purchased any additional Bitcoin.

Long-term adoption is supported by increased US investor access to Bitcoin-related businesses which is a positive development for Bitcoin sentiment. It increases institutional trust and continues to boost Bitcoin prices over time even though it might not cause an immediate spike in the price of the cryptocurrency.

Strategy and Bitcoin Treasury Firms Face Possible Index Exclusion

Strategy Michael Saylor’s business and other bitcoin-purchasing companies would soon be excluded from important stock indexes such as MSCI. According to MSCI firms that have more than 50% of their assets in digital assets will be excluded since they behave more like investment funds than regular enterprises.

This plan might compel passive funds to liquidate shares worth billions of dollars if it is approved by January 15. According to analysts if other index providers follow MSCI’s example Strategy alone would see withdrawals of up to $8–9 billion.

Due to the decline in cryptocurrency values Strategy’s stock has already experienced a significant decline this year. Opponents claim that by increasing finance costs and limiting adoption, the law might harm the rapidly expanding digital asset treasury (DAT) industry. Proponents contend that the risk has already been factored in.

This news may lead to instability and increase uncertainty in the short term. Long-term, nevertheless the foundations of Bitcoin are still solid and a healthier more stable BTC market might be supported by treasury businesses using less leverage.

Bitcoin Price Prediction – Bearish Flag Still in Focus

Bitcoin price prediction remains bearish amid breakout of bearish flag. BTC is trading near $88,100 on the 4-hour chart, stabilizing after breaking down from a bearish flag earlier this month. The short-term bias remains cautious, but price action suggests the selloff is losing momentum rather than accelerating.

BTC remains inside a broad ascending channel that has guided price since late October. The drop below the 50-EMA at $88,200 and 100-EMA near $89,100 confirms near-term pressure, yet sellers have failed to force a clean breakdown below the $84,500–$85,000 support zone. Repeated long lower wicks in this area point to absorption and dip demand.

Candlestick structure has shifted to small-bodied candles and Doji-style pauses, signaling indecision. RSI has recovered toward the low-50s, holding above oversold levels and hinting at mild bullish divergence. This favors consolidation over continuation selling.

Technically, Bitcoin is compressing below the $88,200–$89,200 pivot zone. A reclaim of this area opens a recovery path toward $92,000, then $94,200. Failure keeps downside risk alive toward $84,500, with deeper support near $80,600.

Trade idea: Buy acceptance above $89,200, target $94,000, stop below $84,000.

PEPENODE: A Mine-to-Earn Meme Coin Nearing Presale Close

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